Structured Analytic Techniques Case Study

E-PUB: Ed Ramos: Rising Star?

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by Randolph H. Pherson, 2020

Ed Ramos: Rising Star?

This publication includes a case study narrative, a set of questions to consider when analyzing the case, and a case solution.

DEA agent Ed Ramos impressed HQ with the high volume of reports he submitted. Is he a superstar or is there a more sinister explanation for his productivity?

DEA agent Ed Ramos had impressed HQ with the volume of his reporting on drug trafficking in Haiti, but his supervisor in Port-au-Prince was suspicious. Was he a rising star or were there other reasons explaining his productivity? This case study shows how Diagnostic Techniques such as Key Assumptions Check, Multiple Hypotheses Generation, Analysis of Competing Hypotheses, and Deception Detection can be used to frame the problem and bring order to the jumble of data points, assumptions, and information gaps.

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