***Purchase two courses for $250! This is student pricing only.***
Wednesday, May 24, 2017
How can I conduct more rigorous analysis using Multiple Hypothesis Generation and Analysis of Competing Hypotheses?
Diagnostic Structured Analytic Techniques help analysts broaden their thinking about what is going on, identify dynamics at play, and question the “conventional wisdom.” This workshop exposes participants to two key techniques: Multiple Hypothesis Generation (MHG) and Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). The instructors discuss the purpose of MHG and ACH as well as the cognitive biases and analytic traps they help to address. Participants then use an instructor-furnished case study to perform MHG, a technique for developing a range of possible explanations for a particular issue, activity, or behavior. Following the MHG process, participants use ACH to evaluate the consistency of evidence against this range of possible explanations until only one or two most likely explanations remain.